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Defending Xander Bogaerts

Why is Xander Bogaerts projected to hit sixth?  Is John Farrell crazy?  The answers,  in order, are I don’t know and I hope not.

Yes, Xander Bogaerts hit third in the lineup yesterday against the Orioles.  That was also in a lineup not including Betts and Benintendi.  And it  was only one game.

Right now, it looks like John Farrell will start the season with a 2-6 of Betts, Benintendi, Ramirez, Moreland, and Bogaerts.  Much of this is the alternating righty-lefty combo.  I’m sure some of this is due to Bogaerts end of 2016 slump.  But is Mitch Moreland is the answer?  This is a guy who has never scored more than 60 runs and never had an OBP higher than .330 in the five seasons of 350+ plate appearances.

Meanwhile, Xander Bogaerts OBP the last two seasons has been .355 and .356 respectively.  His run totals the last three years have skyrocketed from 60 to 114.  Obviously, Bogaerts spent a lot of time at the top of the order last year, giving him more opportunities to get on base and score.  But he also scores runs because he will get on base an additional 4 to 5% more than Moreland.

Moreland’s slugging percentage is about 30 points higher, but the 2016 home runs totals are nearly identical.  OPS and OPS+ are also nearly identical.  Is this enough to warrant Xander Bogaerts hitting sixth?

No it’s not.  It’s arguable that Bogaerts should bat second, third, or fourth.  But that’s for another blog post.  Right now, batting Bogaerts in front of Moreland is a no-brainer.

The good news is we’re less than a week away from seeing this grand experiment begin.

 

Thoughts on Speeding Up Baseball

Remember what Clint Eastwood’s Dirty Harry character said about opinions?  Well, I won’t print it here. But you can google it and get the point.

In the wake of baseball’s new intentional walk rule, it seems like everyone has an opinion on how to speed up baseball.  In last Sunday’s Boston Globe baseball column, Nick Cafardo shared opinions from nine anonymous major leaguers (link attached).

https://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/redsox/2017/02/27/what-next-robots-calling-balls-and-strikes/DjmsyZP0A9Daq1Mryyy4vK/story.html

Some thoughts were very outside of the box, which was the point. Like everything else in life, baseball will need to evolve or it risks becoming a niche sport(see, NHL). I’m more of a baseball purist. To me, I love the game and wouldn’t change much. But if MLB is trying to grow its business, concessions will need to be made.

I’m sure I’ll have a few thoughts throughout the season on what concessions to make.  For today, I’ll point out two concessions that won’t be made.

Reducing time between innings – Not going to happen. Commercials, and in turn, media, help pay the bills for media companies. The same media companies that are signing massive national and local rights deals. Owners like money, media companies like money, and advertisers like money.  So the media companies will sell whatever advertising they can to help support the large rights deals they just paid.

Reducing the season – Whether it’s 8 games or one less month, neither will happen. And for the same reason I wrote above. Money.  According to a 2016 GOBankingRates study of MLB stadium prices, the average cost for two people to spend a day at the ballpark is just under $80. I’m going to use round numbers for the sake of efficiency and say $40/person.

We’re going to assume a plan of reducing the season by 8 games(4 home games per team). Not a lot, but at least the World Series can be completed in October. On the lower end of the spectrum, an MLB park has a capacity of 40,000 people. So here’s what’s lost by asking teams to give up 4 home games per year:

  • 160,000 fans not attending baseball games (40,000 x 4)
  • $6,400,000 not being spent at the ballpark
  • In the case of the Dodgers, with the largest stadium capacity, you’re looking at $9M

So by reducing the season, we’re asking teams to get rid of one Anthony Rizzo, Jason Hammel, or Travis Wood. Sorry for all the 2016 Cubs World Series champs references. But you get the point.  Not happening.

I do appreciate the recommendations and outside the box thoughts for helping baseball evolve.  Asking owners and players to give up money to make us fans feel better is off the table.  I challenge baseball fans everywhere to think more critically when looking for solutions to help continue baseball’s success.

What a Cubs World Championship Means to Me

Family.  That’s what a Cubs World Series title means to me.  The first Cubs game that I attended and remember was in 1985.  A tall, blonde haired, five-year old stood along the brick wall separating the grandstands from the playing field.  My mom, Colleen, decided to add red coloring to my blonde hair to replicate the same red hair flowing from the mane of Jody Davis.   Davis will always be my favorite Cubs player.  I loved lucky number 7, Davis’s number and his spot in the batting order.  Davis was also tall and lanky, which is my same body type.  And I always thought catching was cool.  It also helped that Davis spotted me and did give me his autograph.

That was only one memory.  Since that wonderful day in 1985, I would attend hundreds of Cubs games at the shrine on the corner of Addison and Clark.  Living in Chicago’s south suburbs, my mom and stepdad took me to one game each month.  Both big Cubs fans, they met at Wrigley Field and married months later.  Even after we moved to central Illinois in 1988, we continued to see the Cubs monthly.  Two siblings later, we were a family of five suffering from the disease of Cubs fandom.

Our Cubs trips, like many, involved arriving early for batting practice.  We stayed for all nine innings (unless Grandpa was driving).  And we hung out for next to the player’s parking lot for post-game autographs.  The parking lot would have comfortably fit 12 cars; it usually fit 25-30.  The peanut gallery would provide some comedic gems – “Hey Sanderson, can you sign this or will you throw out your arm?”  Each game was usually finished off by heading out on Lake Shore Drive, turning off at North and Wells for a postgame meal at Ed Debevic’s.  Burgers, fries, and waitstaff rudeness – what more do you want?

As I get older the games I remember are few and far between.  I do remember the raucous environment of a Cubs-Giants nationally televised night game in ‘89.  Nothing like relief pitcher Les Lancaster driving in a few runs in a Cubs win.  We also splurged for tickets to Ryne Sandberg’s final home game, Kerry Wood’s first home start, and sat 20 rows behind home plate to watch a Sammy Sosa three homer game against the Phillies.  Oh, I almost forgot convincing a few Catholic school teachers that the 6th grade field trip should include a game at 1060 West Addison Street.

Sadly, my stepdad passed away in 2001.  He is one of the many that would never see a Cubs World Series winner.  It rocked my world.  I miss him every day.  It’s been said that we all grieve differently.  I spent my summer drinking and numbing the pain.  Luckily, I had the Cubs.  It was the one promising campaign of the Don Baylor era.  It united my family and helped us heal.

In our first Cubs game after his passing, we sat in section 420.  It was a warm summer day.  Our seats were in the upper deck, high above home plate and below the press box.  It was also prime foul ball territory.  I’ll always remember one of the first foul balls hit in our direction.  A high pop fly, the ball continued carrying towards our seat.  My then 8-year old brother, David, had his Wilson mitt out, and all four of us leaned over to catch the ball.  The ball landed on the seat in front of my brother, then bounced forward, deflecting off of David’s seat, and coming to a stop right underneath it.  David grabbed it.  At 8 years old, he was the first in the family to catch a live ball at Wrigley Field.

2003 was another life changing year.  After my first April Cubs game, I drove around the north side trying to get back to my new apartment in suburbia.  Driving west on Wrightwood, I never realized how many young people live in the neighborhood.  I saw families playing in the park and twenty-somethings strolling into the neighborhood tavern.  In that moment, I knew I had to move to Wrigleyville.

Moving to Wrigleyville was a 3-year process, but eventually I grew a pair and took the plunge.  The day after I moved into my apartment, I strolled over to the final game of the 2006 season.  I met Dusty Baker on the street.  I think we all knew it was his last game.  It was the fans way of saying goodbye.  Nobody ever wants to see another person get fired, but I was glad the Cubs were heading in a different direction.

I took David to his first opening day in 2007.  It was the coolest thing in the world to live four blocks from Wrigley Field.  To be around the atmosphere, day in and day out.  Even if I couldn’t get the little guy into a bar, it was still fun to be a part of the madness.

As I grew older, family began to mean friends too.  Scott and I danced awkwardly on tables at the old Houndstooth when divisions were won.  Mike and I closed down Goose Island after subsequent Cubs failures.  John and I sat in the bleachers and chanted “Green Bay sucks!” during a Sunday night Cubs-Sox game.  John being a Sox fan, it was the only thing we could agree on.

My life changed forever in two very different ways in the 2010 season.  First, thanks to 2003 NLCS, I signed myself up for the Cubs season ticket waiting list.  We will not discuss the details of that series.  At least I channeled the energy from the disappointment and used it productively.  Little did I know on a frigid December afternoon I would get the call from the Cubs:  Would you like to buy season tickets?  Of course, I did.  2 tickets in the bleachers?  Sign me up.

Through those tickets, destiny was calling.  Her name was Liz.  We met on Opening Day 2010, the very first game of my season ticket package.  70 and sunny, the Cubs were up 9-1 in the 5th.  While Liz’s friend Carrie mingled with the boys, her friend Brian gave my props for my Jody Davis jersey.  This eventually led to a conversation with Liz.  Her hair was flowing in the breeze, while she wore a blue Cubs shirt, a reddish jacket, and her favorite BluBlockers.  I had no game and had no idea how to ask her out.  The one and only thing I could think of was using my Cubs tickets.  She said yes and gave me her number.  Four and a half years later, she said, “I do.”  And another two years later, she’s bearing our child.

You know how the rest of the story plays out.  Sitting a dozen rows up in section 140, Liz made it to two World Series games with me.  David was with me to see the Miguel Montero grand slam from game 1.  My sister, Meghan, and I celebrated the Cubs first pennant in 71 years.  My mom made it up for game 5 of the World Series, and we watched the comeback game of the series.  Two games and three days later, the Cubs were champs.  We rejoiced in the streets.  We celebrated at the parade.  We made daily trips to Wrigley just to soak it all in.  A family, old and new, has seen it all.  We no longer wait with anxiety, but with great anticipation for the next Cubs World Series Championship.