Tag Archive | Golf

US Open Predictions

2014_usopen_logo_mens_304

Golf predictions are the worst.  But I like options.  So I’ll give you my final twosome – the two guys who I think have the best chance to win – at the 114th United States Open.  And I’ll throw in a few more names, free of charge.

My final twosome

courtesy pga.com

pga.com

Bubba Watson – 1st time major champions have been the thing at the US Open.  I’m going against the grain.  Bubba’s 7th in greens in regulation and 2nd in bogey avoidance.  But I really like Bubba because the US Open lacks thick rough.  I think this plays into the hands of the most creative shotmaker in golf.

masspictures.net

masspictures.net

Jordan Spieth – The kid is knocking on the door and he’s destined to win soon.  Spieth knows how to score when it matters – 11th in scrambling, 25th in sand saves, and 29th in strokes gained.  He’s contended in the two biggest tournaments in 2014.  Why couldn’t this be the week he goes from contending to winning?

Penultimate group

Phil Mickelson – Shocker.  Not for the obvious reasons.  Phil is 7th in putting from 5-10 feet.  He’s 8th in sand saves and in the top 40 in scrambling.  But when Phil wins majors, he wins them when he has two consecutive tune-ups before each major.  Four times in his careers this has happened, the only time this didn’t happen was the 2005 PGA Championship.  He’s ready.  Will he be good enough?

Rory McIlroy – All world talent.  Probably the most talented player in this tournament.  Makes a lot of one putts, a lot of 3-5 footers, and he scrambles well.  We all know he hits the ball a country mile.  I would be stunned if he’s not in contention on Sunday.

Others to watch

Sergio Garcia – 1st in bogey avoidance, top 5 in scrambling, top 10 in strokes gained.  Can you trust a guy who’s not sure he can win a major?

Jimmy Walker – Phenomenal year, 1st in FedEx points.  At the top of the ranks in strokes gained and greens in regulation.  Also fits the bill as a first time winner.

Why Phil Mickelson Isn’t Going To Jail

Phil Mickelson isn’t getting arrested and going to jail.  Sorry.

This FBI investigation does have merit.  Let’s just say I’ll disagree with this New York Post article from Charles Gasparino:

http://nypost.com/2014/06/02/the-feds-hit-a-bogey-an-empty-case-on-mickelson/

Near the article’s end, Gasparino writes about the Feds taking the easy way out on this – scaring Mickelson into ratting out others.  He’s right.  Mickelson is the tippee(the end user) in this scenario.  He’s taken some info, legal or not, to make a quick buck.  Phil likely made more money on Super Bowl bets than he did in this exchange.  The money is immaterial to the Feds.  

What matters is the tippee(the source).  The Feds want to know what Mickelson knows, how he knows it, and who provided him with the info.  They also want to do their due diligence on how long Mickelson has conducted business in this manner.  Whether the Feds are after Carl Icahn, Billy Walters, or someone in between, I don’t know.

The way the FBI went about this case does draw more attention than the alternative.  Fat cats like Icahn probably have enough money and resources to not care.  But I’ve heard worse ideas than using a high-profile athlete to crack down on a few middlemen and their insider trades.  Even if Phil made the trades legally, would it be surprising to know Walters used insider info on a number of other trades?  Not really.  

It’s too early to label this case a birdie or bogey.  Let’s just say the FBI has a side-hill, 30-foot birdie putt.  Too short and the nerves kick in on a tough par putt.  Too long and the hole gets away from them.  The FBI needs to hit this putt just right. 

Moving on from Wozzilroy

Fish and chips, pints of Guinness, and the BMW PGA.  That’s all I needed from a Galway pub two Sundays ago.  Earlier, I stopped from placing a wager on Rory McIlroy to come from seven back to win the tournament.  Nothing against Thomas Bjorn, Shane Lowry, and Luke Donald.  I just thought I’d get good odds on young Rory.  I could think of a lot worse ways to drop 20 euro.

I should’ve made the bet.

I chuckled when I saw McIlroy charge up the leaderboard and win the tournament.  Who knew a gut feeling and an odd bet would come through?  I laughed at the post-round comments from my fellow bar patrons.  In typical honest, Irish fashion, here’s the very first comment from my neighbor:

That girl f***** him up for a year and a half.  Complete waste of time!

Can’t say I disagree with him.  Which made me wonder about the initial shock from McIlroy’s announcement before the BMW PGA.  Why were we really surprised this didn’t last?

From a few months in, Wozzilroy posted an awfully lot of intimate pics on social media.  We were introduced to the naming of the couple, Wozzilroy, by the couple itself.  On a Vokey wedge.  About two or three months into the relationship.  We saw these two travel the world to see each other.  And after that became a trend, we watched their world number one rankings fall faster than Wile E. Coyote from a cliff.  Not surprising for a 25 and 23 year old.

Meanwhile, McIlroy’s fellow countryman, Graeme McDowell uses social media a little differently.  Lots of posts, generally related to golf courses, golf travel, Cleveland golf, and his Nona Blue restaurant.  A lot of golf and some business. Occasionally, we’ll see McDowell and his lovely wife.  But not often.

Maybe the young Wozzilroys should’ve kept a little more distance between them and the spotlight.  Young love played a part in a lot of those decisions, I’m sure.  Just as important, maybe these two kids need a significant other to ground them, to help them focus on their games.  It’s quite the task when both are at the top of their professions, which involve significant travel.

My other interest in this story is the growth from the BMW PGA until now.  Since two Sundays ago, we saw Wozniacki’s first round out in the French, Rory’s 63 at Memorial, Wozniacki’s wicked witch avatar on twitter, followed by a second round 78 from McIlroy.  All of a sudden a few golf outlets started covering Wozniacki’s weekend fun in Miami.

Why do we care?  He’s 25, she’s 23.  They should be out enjoying themselves.  Maybe, just maybe, they might find a partner that’s better suited for them.  Shocker, I know.

These two kids are moving on.  So should we.  Can we do that already?

Tiger vs Rory – 48 Hours Later

If a tree falls in the forest, and nobody is there to see it, does it make a sound?

If the two best golfers in the world play an exhibition in China, and nobody is there to watch it, does anyone really care?

I didn’t.  And I love Tiger and Rory.  Why would I pay money to watch an Internet feed of this exhibition match, especially when I can be doing better things in the middle of the night?  Like sleeping.

Well, I stumbled upon Ryan Lavner’s piece on golfchannel.com yesterday.  I think I figured out why I cared.

http://www.golfchannel.com/news/golftalkcentral/rory-clips-tiger-by-a-shot-in-duel-at-jinsha-lake/

Here’s the key paragraph from Lavner’s article:

On the 10th hole, Woods admitted to “struggling with Sean (Foley),” his swing coach, saying, “I’ve been hitting my short irons so (expletive) far.” He went on to explain how he rarely took a divot with his short clubs under former coach Hank Haney, but now, though, “all of a sudden, I’m taking divots.”

Well, well, well.  So Tiger is fully aware of the issues we all see.  His short iron game is simply not as good as it once, nor is it on par with the rest of his current game.  Now, I have no qualms with Sean Foley.  I also have no issues with Hank Haney either.  I have a lot of respect for both teachers.  I will say this: 

I think Hank’s way is the better way.

To take it one step further, I will paraphrase a comment made by Johnny Miller during the final round of this year’s Ryder Cup.  Miller commented that the best iron players hit their short irons low and their long irons high, and they take a more shallow divot. 

I’m not saying Tiger should go back to Haney.  I’m not sure Haney would have him.  Sean Foley is Tiger’s coach and that’s not likely to change for awhile.  At what point do Tiger and Foley work together to flatten(even slightly) the swing his wedges?    He shouldn’t be thinking about large divots over the ball.  He should be thinking about shallow divots and crisp, consistent contact.   Tiger’s short iron woes are a huge part what’s keeping him from winning major championships.  

We all remember Tiger’s magical win at the 2008 US Open.  It’s arguably the greatest tournament win of all time.  It’s the greatest tournament win I’ve ever seen.  But when Tiger tees it up at Augusta next April, it will be nearly five years since that US Open win.

Did anyone ever think Tiger Woods would go five years without a major championship?

My Day at Medinah

June 30, 2012

9:45AM – I’m sitting in a Bolingbrook Denny’s.  I’m excited.  Who wouldn’t be?  But not just for Denny’s.  I’ll explain it a minute.

I’m picking up my 19 year old brother, David.  My mom, who in central Illinois, is dropping off my brother because she’s afraid of my brother navigating his way through the Chicagoland suburbs.  Again, he’s 19.  It is what it is.

My brother is tired from his summer job, but seems excited for the day ahead.  My mom thinks this is just another day at the golf course.  Neither realize the magnitude of this day.  We are not just playing golf at any golf course today.  Thanks to my girlfriend, and I can’t thank her enough, we are playing a course that few Chicagoans are lucky enough to play

On this incredibly hot and balmy June afternoon, we have a tee time at Medinah No. 3.

11:45AM – Here!  We make our way through the main entrance at Medinah and immediately see the majestic clubhouse.  I’ve had this drive once before – in a shuttle at the 2006 PGA Championship.  It’s a little different today.

11:50AM –   Mercedes, Porsches, Ferraris, and yes, even one Lamborghini line the first rows of Medinah’s parking lot.  I pull up in the blue bomber – my 2002 Jeep Liberty.  I pull up to the side clubhouse entrance.  We drop off the clubs to the very nice attendance.  They even want to valet the car.  Yeah, no.  I’m too embarrassed to let anyone other than me and a few friends into the Liberty.

12:00PM – Mike and Kevin are here, right on time.  I’ve known both cats for about a decade.  Mike and Kevin are best friends.  Mike is a former roommate of mine.  Kevin is a friend, and like me, is an avid golfer.

12:05PM – The scene is straight out of Caddyshack.  The best part – the slobs get to play Bushwood today.

We grab lunch at the outdoor patio near the pool.  The food is good, the drinks are better, but the atmosphere is the best.  I’m pretty sure we saw Spaulding at the pool.  If we only had a Baby Ruth.

It’s possible I might have as much fun doing non-golf things at Medinah.  Between the pool, the skeet shooting range, and the clubhouse, I could’ve been set.  I’ve never shot a gun in my life, but as they say, when in Rome.

2:24PM –  Finally.  The first tee.

We meet our caddies Neal and Niall.  I couldn’t make this up.  The names are pronounced phonetically.  Two of the nicest kids you’ll meet.  Two of the better caddies I’ve had.  They just didn’t know what they were in for.

I was more nervous on the first tee here than I was at Pebble.  After I hooked my tee shot well left, I pushed my breakfast ball down the first cut of the right rough.  Both balls are playable, but to speed up play, I use the breakfast ball(thanks guys). Kevin has the best drive, pummeling one 300+ right down broadway.

3:05PM – The par-3 second is 150 yards over water.  Not long, but it will raise your blood pressure.  David’s adventure begins here.   The kid who plays once every other year pummels his tee shot.  It hits the cart path beyond the green.  His ball comes to rest at the top of the hill beyond the path.  At least he’s dry, right?

Wrong.  For his next magic trick, David’s second must carry the cart path and the bunker without rolling over the green and into the water.  Well, it ends up in the bunker.  The third shot?  In the drink.  To his credit, he was out of the sand in one.

If you end up in either back bunker at the second, play the bump and run or the Texas wedge.  These bunkers have no lip.  Better safe than sorry.  You were warned.

3:25PM –  Medinah’s test truly begins on three.   Even former members agree.  This par-4 is a dogleg left and long.  I had a couple of pulled shots in the trees, but still saved bogey.

As we finish the third, two members give Mike the stare down for wearing casual shoes.  Mike stares right back.  Oh the humanity…

Slobs 1, Snobs 0.

3:50PM – I need a change of shorts after holing a downhill, left-to-right, twenty footer to save bogey.

The fourth is long, tight, the green is up the hill and on a plateau.  Leave it short and you roll back down the hill.  Leave it long and you better be lucky like me.  Four here is insanely good.

4:50PM – My four best shots on the day came at 6 and 7.  I carefully made a bogey on six, three-jacking it from 25 feet.

Seven was a different story.  The longest and toughest par-five on the golf course, I pured driver and hit a solid 3-wood.  I was still 80 yards from the green.  Wedge and a birdie time?  Not so much.  I shanked my wedge into the right bunker and made seven.

Another reason for the difficulty at Medinah – uneven lies.  The wedge shot was significant above my feet.  I setup properly, but nerves kicked in.  All I could think about was chunking the shot.  So I used all hands for the shank.

Even when you are in the fairway, this course still teases you.  It’s just not fair!

5:20PM – We finish 9.  Yep, you read that right.  Almost three hours to finish the round.   We were slow, sure.  But my brother rarely plays, Mike and I were all over the place, and oh yeah, it was 97 degrees with 110% humidity.

And of course, it’s Medinah.  It’s really, really hard.

5:30PM – After pummeling my drive on 10,  I have my most interesting shot of the day.  My ball lies in the first cut and sits significantly below my feet.  What do I do?  The dreaded double cross.  I pull my ball so far left, I hit the fence that separates 10 from Lake Street.  I ending up making an 8.

6:15PM – 245 yards, downhill, over water.  All carry.  We all pull driver.  Only Kevin comes close, hitting a tree on the left and having his ball land two yards beyond the green.  Welcome to the 13th at Medinah.

We played our actual tee shots from the white tees and I made my first par of the day.  I hit the green in regulation too!

6:35PM – We all clear the water on the par-5 fourteenth.  We all mess up our seconds.  Somehow we all make bogeys.

The 14th is long and undulating, like most of Medinah No. 3.  It’s more challenging because the green is similar to an island green.  Sure, it’s reachable in two.  But the green is surrounded by sand in the front, trees on the side, and tall rough in the back.  Laying up isn’t the worst idea here.

7:00PM – The Sergio tree.  Well, what’s left of it.  The tree was torn down during the Rees Jones-lead renovations a few years back.  All that’s left is the stump.   I do the obligatory Sergio run-and-jump.  But I can’t even take myself seriously so I do the metrosexual version of it.  I don’t know what that means.

7:30PM – Birdie.

Doing what no American did during the Sunday singles matches at the Ryder Cup, I made bird on 17.  It.  Just.  Barely.  Curled.  In.  My one and only bird on the day was from 20 feet.  Nerves of steel on the tee shot.  I’ve finally conquered the medium length par-3 over water.

7:40PM – The walk up 18th.  I’ve played St. Andrews, Pebble, and Torrey Pines.  But never with friends.  This walk is much more special.  The boys aren’t the sentimental types, but I’ll never forget it.

7:45PM – Of course, my third shot is in a nasty lie and below my feet in the greenside rough.  I see my girlfriend and sister pull in as I walk into my chip shot.  Talk about pressure!  And…I chip it to 8 feet.  I’ll take it.  America wins!

7:50PM – We’ve made it.  We survived the heat, humidity, high rough, fast greens, the sunset, and two chotchy members.

The 8 foot par save on 18 doesn’t matter(I left it six inches below the hole).  The score doesn’t matter(I broke 100 though!).   Having my friends, siblings, and of course, Liz with me was all that mattered.

Unless I win the lotto, this is probably my one shot at Medinah.  I gave it all I had.  I’m incredibly fortunate to play Medinah once, especially when it happened three months to the day before the final round of the Ryder Cup.  No complaints.

For those who get the chance to play Medinah – be straight, bring your short game, and most importantly, have fun.

For all those who never get the chance, just know this – the slobs won today.

O-lé, Olé, Olé, Olé

Alright, already.  I’ve heard enough your damn song. I get it.  The Euros won the Ryder Cup.

It was the most magical sporting event I’ve ever been too, and I wasn’t even there on Sunday.  I did make it there Saturday though.  The last time I felt that electricity in a venue was the 2009 Winter Classic at Wrigley Field.  Whether it was pumping up Bubba on the first tee, yelling “War Eagle” on every Dufner tee shot, or watching the great Ian Poulter hole putt after putt, it was pretty special.  It helps that Medinah Country Club was in pristine condition.  When Davis Love III demanded the rough be cut, we all knew the Ryder Cup would become a birdie-fest.  Right, we were.  The conditions were way easier than when I played in June.  That’s a different story for a different day. 

However, the day that we will all remember – and that anyone is talking about – is Sunday.  It’s easy to second guess DLIII.  I have.  Tiger Woods should not have been the 12th man.  We learned that lesson in 2002 at the Belfry.  But that’s not why the Americans lost.  Not playing Phil and Keegan on Saturday afternoon is also not why the Americans lost.  Maybe Furyk and Stricker weren’t the best captains picks?  But that’s not the main reason either.

The Euros played better on Sunday.  That’s it.  That’s the only reason.

Each line up was front-loaded.  The Euro lineup a little more front-loaded than the Americans, but that didn’t matter much.  In the end, Donald, Rose, McIlroy, and Poulter closed strong.  Bubba, Webb, Keegan, and Phil did not. That was it.  Ballgame.

Even the hottest golfer on the planet, Brandt Snedeker, got pasted by Paul Lawrie.

Even Lee Westwood, who was the worst Euro golfer this past weekend, earned a singles win.

The Euros just played better when it mattered.  Period.  I’m just sad that it happened on my home turf.  It was the worst case scenario on what was arguably one of our best weekends.  And one of my best weekends too.